Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 116.316452 128.788145 141.637200 155.836528 171.060251 186.864939 204.485258
2024-10-06 100.848866 119.882066 140.486928 164.329410 191.034441 219.902479 253.344133
2024-10-13 86.737122 110.337741 137.100791 169.389381 206.973568 249.032649 299.338475
2024-10-20 72.671682 98.879010 129.973655 168.999456 216.063595 270.393467 337.226979
2024-10-27 61.590517 89.442142 123.941003 168.849220 224.763828 291.102303 374.713356
2024-11-03 55.236755 85.023202 123.341129 174.805099 240.618206 320.477069 423.123259
2024-11-10 49.238168 80.239310 121.602442 178.818078 253.816389 346.700440 468.206313
2024-11-17 44.419542 76.417513 120.593905 183.371856 267.508474 373.613265 514.564127
2024-11-24 40.630792 73.567291 120.507426 188.873718 282.342267 402.118320 563.385379
2024-12-01 34.039041 65.697697 112.614353 182.999090 281.520153 410.151848 586.051904
2024-12-08 29.316058 60.117714 107.458514 180.422393 284.730923 423.185159 615.102254
2024-12-15 26.176271 56.709117 105.186672 181.685085 293.048522 442.954098 653.128715
2024-12-22 23.781451 54.361126 104.455760 185.286681 304.962601 468.152273 699.349579
2024-12-29 22.365680 53.585456 106.129458 192.532018 322.283123 501.120298 756.673485
2025-01-05 20.498895 51.740467 105.898053 196.785558 335.343930 528.492119 806.989517
2025-01-12 17.868095 48.061373 102.291911 195.512045 340.138882 544.388744 841.936902
2025-01-19 15.659532 44.885136 99.238384 194.852914 345.682769 561.314594 878.468796
2025-01-26 14.718536 44.222923 100.507218 201.173669 361.857159 593.560401 936.641986
2025-02-02 13.579879 42.962008 100.573051 205.446732 374.939616 621.554863 989.269280
2025-02-09 12.636315 41.996112 101.070728 210.384152 389.081711 651.232948 1044.591178
2025-02-16 11.900383 41.409207 102.211900 216.407352 405.012691 683.735208 1104.316238
2025-02-23 9.870012 37.304068 96.256890 209.872436 400.856683 686.639802 1121.995984
2025-03-02 8.463516 34.490659 92.552777 206.999497 402.320435 697.717981 1151.356589